![]() |
If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below. |
|
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#11
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Mon, 15 Oct 2018 13:54:39 -0400, Wolf K
wrote: On 2018-10-15 13:36, VanguardLH wrote: [...] The future can only be predicted, not observed (at which point it becomes history). [...] ... and the predictions are calculated probabilities, not proven conclusions. I don't want to open a discussion about global warming (aka climate change) here ... :-) -- Regards, Eric Stevens |
#12
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Eric Stevens wrote:
On Mon, 15 Oct 2018 13:54:39 -0400, Wolf K wrote: On 2018-10-15 13:36, VanguardLH wrote: [...] The future can only be predicted, not observed (at which point it becomes history). [...] ... and the predictions are calculated probabilities, not proven conclusions. I don't want to open a discussion about global warming (aka climate change) here ... :-) Human induced climate change is already evidenced and proven. What is open to prediction is how extreme it will get and when. This is dependent on what actions governments take. |
#13
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Tue, 16 Oct 2018 06:55:40 -0000 (UTC), Chris
wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 15 Oct 2018 13:54:39 -0400, Wolf K wrote: On 2018-10-15 13:36, VanguardLH wrote: [...] The future can only be predicted, not observed (at which point it becomes history). [...] ... and the predictions are calculated probabilities, not proven conclusions. I don't want to open a discussion about global warming (aka climate change) here ... :-) Human induced climate change is already evidenced and proven. Climate change is already evidenced and proven. After all it's been changing for billions of years. Human induced climate change is very much open to debate. I can't track down the original paper by Essex, McKitrick and Andresen but you will find information about it at https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/10/...ll-that-money/ or http://tinyurl.com/y8pwfvhr The data we have about the temperature of the earth is quite inadequate and is unsuited to the claims as temperature measurent accuracy. What is open to prediction is how extreme it will get and when. This is dependent on what actions governments take. Have a look at the graph of temperature predictions at http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-conte...-thru-2013.png Which model would you like to rely upon? -- Regards, Eric Stevens |
#14
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Chris wrote:
Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 15 Oct 2018 13:54:39 -0400, Wolf K wrote: On 2018-10-15 13:36, VanguardLH wrote: [...] The future can only be predicted, not observed (at which point it becomes history). [...] ... and the predictions are calculated probabilities, not proven conclusions. I don't want to open a discussion about global warming (aka climate change) here ... :-) Human induced climate change is already evidenced and proven. What is open to prediction is how extreme it will get and when. This is dependent on what actions governments take. Versus the increased gamma radiation (cosmic rays hitting solar protons) from our sun that affects the cloud cover over our planet that has a far greater effect on climate change (which is the new term since global warming failed due to the current cooling). Gamma radiation is highest when the sun is its most sluggish. https://science.nasa.gov/science-new...0may_longrange Can't tax the sun, so gov'ts turn to humans that they can tax. Can't tax the major source, so tax an available source. Of course, not giving grants unless the recipient agrees to the gov't stance on climate change also means applying influence to effect their agenda (taxation). They deliberately skewed the news media. Well, that's what gov'ts do. Those that talk about Global Warming aka Climate Change have very short time ranges. They talk about now, not over geological time spans. We should be going into another ice age but gamma radiation hence cloud cover has increased to delay it. Gee, yeah, when we do get into the next ice age, we'll get taxed for not outputting enough emissions to keep the planet in our comfort zone and prevent reduction in crop volume (if we're still here in the very short 100,000 years from now). Hm, since Earth's orbit changes from oval to circular, wonder which Milankovitch cycle we've been in over the last 20 years. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles#Earth's_movements Nope, can't tax the planet, either, just the humans scurrying around atop of it. |
#15
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
On 10/16/2018 01:55 AM, Chris wrote:
[snip] Human induced climate change is already evidenced and proven. What is open to prediction is how extreme it will get and when. This is dependent on what actions governments take. That reminds me of a movie I saw once, where there was a worldwide shortage of oxygen and the government's solution was to burn down the forests (with the idea that trees were competitors). |
#16
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Eric Stevens wrote:
On Tue, 16 Oct 2018 06:55:40 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 15 Oct 2018 13:54:39 -0400, Wolf K wrote: On 2018-10-15 13:36, VanguardLH wrote: [...] The future can only be predicted, not observed (at which point it becomes history). [...] ... and the predictions are calculated probabilities, not proven conclusions. I don't want to open a discussion about global warming (aka climate change) here ... :-) Human induced climate change is already evidenced and proven. Climate change is already evidenced and proven. After all it's been changing for billions of years. Indeed it has. However, the current temperatures are possibly the warmest that humans as a species have ever experienced and the rate of warming is frankly frightening. https://xkcd.com/1732/ CO2 levels are also the highest in at least the last 650,000 years and are approaching levels only seen in the cretaceous period 60mya https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cret...hermal_Maximum Human induced climate change is very much open to debate. Nope. Over 200 scientific organisations across the world support the evidence for it. http://www.opr.ca.gov/facts/list-of-...nizations.html This level of agreement within the naturally skeptical scientific community is unprecedented. 194 countries + the EU signed the Paris agreement, although famously the man-baby decided to withdraw (although not until 2020). https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paris_Agreement The debate is over. Now we must get together and solve it before it's too late. I can't track down the original paper by Essex, McKitrick and Andresen but you will find information about it at https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/10/...ll-that-money/ or http://tinyurl.com/y8pwfvhr The data we have about the temperature of the earth is quite inadequate and is unsuited to the claims as temperature measurent accuracy. Sure, there are plenty of armchair scientists who think they know better. Dr Ball is a geographer who clearly has an axe to grind for some reason. I stopped reading your link after he started to introduce his anecdotes about flying at low altitude and taking sea temperatures. Plus he is wrong about how the north atlantic conveyor works, etc. Not very credible, I'm afraid. What is open to prediction is how extreme it will get and when. This is dependent on what actions governments take. Have a look at the graph of temperature predictions at http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-conte...-thru-2013.png Which model would you like to rely upon? It doesn't matter. Climate modeling is extremely complex, the initial assumptions can influence the final results. They're all approximations from the best models, but they all have the same trend; global temperatures significantly departing from the norm. None are consistent with there being no warming. |
#17
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
VanguardLH wrote:
Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 15 Oct 2018 13:54:39 -0400, Wolf K wrote: On 2018-10-15 13:36, VanguardLH wrote: [...] The future can only be predicted, not observed (at which point it becomes history). [...] ... and the predictions are calculated probabilities, not proven conclusions. I don't want to open a discussion about global warming (aka climate change) here ... :-) Human induced climate change is already evidenced and proven. What is open to prediction is how extreme it will get and when. This is dependent on what actions governments take. Versus the increased gamma radiation (cosmic rays hitting solar protons) from our sun that affects the cloud cover over our planet that has a far greater effect on climate change (which is the new term since global warming failed due to the current cooling). Seriously?! Gamma rays? Gimme a break! Gamma radiation is highest when the sun is its most sluggish. https://science.nasa.gov/science-new...0may_longrange Can't tax the sun, so gov'ts turn to humans that they can tax. Can't tax the major source, so tax an available source. Of course, not giving grants unless the recipient agrees to the gov't stance on climate change also means applying influence to effect their agenda (taxation). They deliberately skewed the news media. Well, that's what gov'ts do. Renewable energy sources are taxed, including solar. Those that talk about Global Warming aka Climate Change have very short time ranges. They talk about now, not over geological time spans. Er, no. Those are exactly the type of timescales that climate scientists look at. E.g https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ Hm, since Earth's orbit changes from oval to circular, wonder which Milankovitch cycle we've been in over the last 20 years. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles#Earth's_movements Just like the solar sun spot theory, it doesn't explain what we're observing as earth as well as greenhouse gas emissions. The rate of change is far too rapid. Nope, can't tax the planet, either, just the humans scurrying around atop of it. Don't be daft, this isn't about tax. |
#18
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
In message , VanguardLH
writes: [] deliberately skewed the news media. Well, that's what gov'ts do. [] Do they need to - isn't it skewed enough on its own? "One cannot hope to bribe or twist thank god! the British journalist. But when you see what he will do UNbribed, there's no occasion to!" I forget who coined that little ditty, but it was I think in the earlier part of the 20th century. (And of course it applies to a lot more than just the British media!) -- J. P. Gilliver. UMRA: 1960/1985 MB++G()AL-IS-Ch++(p)[email protected]+H+Sh0!:`)DNAf (Petitions - at least e-petitions - should collect votes both for and against, if they're going to be reported as indicative of public [UK citizens opinion. If you agree, please click below, unless you already have.) only] https://petition.parliament.uk/petit...BYobumelL9J54c .... she has never contracted A-listeria or developed airs and graces. Kathy Lette on Kylie, RT 2014/1/11-17 |
#19
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Tue, 16 Oct 2018 19:52:06 -0000 (UTC), Chris
wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 16 Oct 2018 06:55:40 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 15 Oct 2018 13:54:39 -0400, Wolf K wrote: On 2018-10-15 13:36, VanguardLH wrote: [...] The future can only be predicted, not observed (at which point it becomes history). [...] ... and the predictions are calculated probabilities, not proven conclusions. I don't want to open a discussion about global warming (aka climate change) here ... :-) Human induced climate change is already evidenced and proven. Climate change is already evidenced and proven. After all it's been changing for billions of years. Indeed it has. However, the current temperatures are possibly the warmest that humans as a species have ever experienced and the rate of warming is frankly frightening. https://xkcd.com/1732/ That is debatable. Our historical temperature record is far from adequate. The record most relied by the IPCC is Hadcrut4 and the quality of the data in this has been found to rather dreadful. The British Met Office has acknowledged the errors and promised to fix them at the next major review. You will find more info at https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/10/...d-with-errors/ and https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/10/...dit-by-mclean/ CO2 levels are also the highest in at least the last 650,000 years and are approaching levels only seen in the cretaceous period 60mya https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cret...hermal_Maximum There is no doubt that mankind is adding to CO2 levels but the argument for this being the cause of rising temperature is by no means settled. Analysis of historical data shows that in the past a rise in CO2 has followed an increase in temperature and not the reverse as popularly supposed. We now have a situation where CO2 levels are rising but , apart from el Ninos global temperatures have been static for the last twenty years or so. To compound the matter the heat content of deep ocean waters seems to be diminishing. Further, ther is no doubt that the temperatue of the troposphere has been falling for possibly as long as 40 years. Both of these point to a cooling earth. Interest is lowly building in the behaviour of the sun. Human induced climate change is very much open to debate. Nope. Over 200 scientific organisations across the world support the evidence for it. http://www.opr.ca.gov/facts/list-of-...nizations.html This level of agreement within the naturally skeptical scientific community is unprecedented. There is no point in me trying to discuss the politics of this situation. 194 countries + the EU signed the Paris agreement, although famously the man-baby decided to withdraw (although not until 2020). https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paris_Agreement I think you fill find that practically nobody is keeping their promises. Trump took the USA out of it because they are where the money is expected to flow from. The debate is over. Now we must get together and solve it before it's too late. I can't track down the original paper by Essex, McKitrick and Andresen but you will find information about it at https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/10/...ll-that-money/ or http://tinyurl.com/y8pwfvhr The data we have about the temperature of the earth is quite inadequate and is unsuited to the claims as temperature measurent accuracy. Sure, there are plenty of armchair scientists who think they know better. What are you? Are you even a scientist? In fact, if you knew more about climate change than can be gained from the news media you would know that Ross McKitrick is a heavy-weight statistician who has thrown light into the dark corners of the use and misuse of climate data. There are few better. Dr Ball is a geographer who clearly has an axe to grind for some reason. I stopped reading your link after he started to introduce his anecdotes about flying at low altitude and taking sea temperatures. Pity. You might have learned something. Plus he is wrong about how the north atlantic conveyor works, etc. Not very credible, I'm afraid. Are you referring to which side of the current to sail on according to direction of travel? If you are, he is right, as any sailing directions will confirm. If you are not referring to that, I don't understand what you are getting at. What is open to prediction is how extreme it will get and when. This is dependent on what actions governments take. Have a look at the graph of temperature predictions at http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-conte...-thru-2013.png Which model would you like to rely upon? It doesn't matter. Climate modeling is extremely complex, the initial assumptions can influence the final results. They're all approximations from the best models, but they all have the same trend; global temperatures significantly departing from the norm. None are consistent with there being no warming. Of course not. Right from the very beginning they were directed to finding evidence of warming. Read paras 1 and 2 of https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-princip...principles.pdf Then read https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United...imate_Cha nge "The UNFCCC objective is to "stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system". What many people regard as the scientific findings are in fact what it was that they were directed to find. -- Regards, Eric Stevens |
#20
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
On Tue, 16 Oct 2018 20:52:59 -0000 (UTC), Chris
wrote: VanguardLH wrote: Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 15 Oct 2018 13:54:39 -0400, Wolf K wrote: On 2018-10-15 13:36, VanguardLH wrote: [...] The future can only be predicted, not observed (at which point it becomes history). [...] ... and the predictions are calculated probabilities, not proven conclusions. I don't want to open a discussion about global warming (aka climate change) here ... :-) Human induced climate change is already evidenced and proven. What is open to prediction is how extreme it will get and when. This is dependent on what actions governments take. Versus the increased gamma radiation (cosmic rays hitting solar protons) from our sun that affects the cloud cover over our planet that has a far greater effect on climate change (which is the new term since global warming failed due to the current cooling). Seriously?! Gamma rays? Gimme a break! You need to read more widely. Gamma radiation is highest when the sun is its most sluggish. https://science.nasa.gov/science-new...0may_longrange Can't tax the sun, so gov'ts turn to humans that they can tax. Can't tax the major source, so tax an available source. Of course, not giving grants unless the recipient agrees to the gov't stance on climate change also means applying influence to effect their agenda (taxation). They deliberately skewed the news media. Well, that's what gov'ts do. Renewable energy sources are taxed, including solar. Those that talk about Global Warming aka Climate Change have very short time ranges. They talk about now, not over geological time spans. Er, no. Those are exactly the type of timescales that climate scientists look at. E.g https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ Hm, since Earth's orbit changes from oval to circular, wonder which Milankovitch cycle we've been in over the last 20 years. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles#Earth's_movements Just like the solar sun spot theory, it doesn't explain what we're observing as earth as well as greenhouse gas emissions. The rate of change is far too rapid. Nope, can't tax the planet, either, just the humans scurrying around atop of it. Don't be daft, this isn't about tax. Isn't it? See what happens when some of these study grants are removed. -- Regards, Eric Stevens |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Intel cuts cpu prices 50%? | Joe_Z[_5_] | Overclocking | 5 | May 3rd 08 04:17 AM |
Intel now also drops prices by up to 40% | Jan Panteltje | General | 0 | April 23rd 07 06:34 PM |
When is the next fall in Intel processor prices due? | Matt U.K. | Homebuilt PC's | 7 | July 20th 05 09:23 AM |
intel prices | blackgold | Intel | 2 | November 4th 03 01:51 AM |
Intel cutting prices? | Fishface | Overclocking | 0 | October 12th 03 05:21 PM |