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#1
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Intel: The chipset is the product
Robert Myers wrote:
The _other_ company sells performance. We sell dreams. :-). My, oh my. Are we in a trolling mood or what! :-) |
#2
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Grumble wrote:
Robert Myers wrote: The _other_ company sells performance. We sell dreams. :-). My, oh my. Are we in a trolling mood or what! :-) The implication being that selling dreams over performance is a bad thing? I don't happen to think it is. Intel's Chief Architect of the P4 era says that he warned Intel management that the NetBurst architecture had bought them some breathing room--a few years at most. The players in the Intel architecture mini-drama seem to an outsider as if they might be stubbornly goal-oriented, but they don't, any of them, seem inept. Intel sometimes seems to act as if it could rearrange virtually anything, including physics, to suit its market objectives. Anybody knows that, in a showdown between physics and marketing, physics wins. Except if you're Intel, apparently. :-). Over the long haul, if people really need performance, and Intel can't deliver it, Intel is in trouble. On the short haul, it would be difficult and dangerous for Intel to try to persuade people that it is silly for them to focus on performance differences they will never notice. In a year or two, Intel might be right back where it was with P4, trying to convince them that a 2.4GHz CPU was faster than a 1.7Ghz CPU in a way that justified an upgrade. Right now, though, Intel needs to get its customers to think about something other than single-threaded performance without engaging in tedious and dangerous explanations. Intel has big architectural changes in mind: offloading significant pieces of work, like network processing, from the main CPU. If Intel were giving advice in "The Graduate," it would be whispering "Multi-threading." Intel has the clout to make a major change in programming style like that stick, but even Intel can't make it happen overnight. In the short haul, Intel has to concede single-threaded performance to AMD and to get its customers to think about something else. It looks to me as if they understood exactly what they need to do, and they are doing it. Eventually, Intel will be back to selling performance, but the kind of performance it will have to sell is going to require significant customer education. The consumer CPU business may repeat the mistake of HPC and try to force a vector quantity (usable performance) into a nearly meaningless scalar (linpack, top 500, etc.), but I can hope not. With any luck, Intel will be able to move the focus off single-threaded performance and things that look like stand-ins for single-threaded performance onto more sophisticated measures of value. Sophistication in measuring value is great conversation for hardware groups on Usenet, but when you're trying to make a sale, you don't want the party reaching for his or her credit card to be thinking about complexity. In such a circumstance, dreams are the preferred commodity to be offering for sale. RM |
#3
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On Wed, 26 May 2004 00:21:32 GMT, Robert Myers
wrote: What do you do when you're having competitive problems with your main product and there is no guaranteed relief in sight? You change the subject. At least, that's what I infer Intel to be doing with Grantsdale: http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory...h/news/2591485 Hmm, Centrino for the desktop? All they need is a name for the "package" now. Any guesses... anybody? Where do they get this stuff: "Because the chip set incorporates features like Dolby audio and advanced 3-D video previously found only in add-on cards..."? Wot a loada BULL****! Intel plays catch-up and a buncha anal...ysts drop their drawers in public!!! How embarrassing. Rgds, George Macdonald "Just because they're paranoid doesn't mean you're not psychotic" - Who, me?? |
#4
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George Macdonald wrote:
On Wed, 26 May 2004 00:21:32 GMT, Robert Myers wrote: What do you do when you're having competitive problems with your main product and there is no guaranteed relief in sight? You change the subject. At least, that's what I infer Intel to be doing with Grantsdale: http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory...h/news/2591485 Hmm, Centrino for the desktop? All they need is a name for the "package" now. Any guesses... anybody? Since picking a brand name is a big deal these days (there are IP issues with practically any name you can think of), and since there is so little time, one suspects that Intel is going to have to do without. If this weren't a hurry-up job, they'd have a brand name ready and we'd have been exposed to it dozens of times by now. Think of the marketing barrage that preceded Centrino. Where do they get this stuff: "Because the chip set incorporates features like Dolby audio and advanced 3-D video previously found only in add-on cards..."? They get it from the press release, one gathers. I haven't yet found the culpable press release on Intel's site, though. Wot a loada BULL****! Intel plays catch-up and a buncha anal...ysts drop their drawers in public!!! How embarrassing. You worry me sometimes. Can't you just relax and enjoy the show? :-). RM |
#5
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On Thu, 27 May 2004 05:29:14 GMT, Robert Myers
wrote: George Macdonald wrote: On Wed, 26 May 2004 00:21:32 GMT, Robert Myers wrote: What do you do when you're having competitive problems with your main product and there is no guaranteed relief in sight? You change the subject. At least, that's what I infer Intel to be doing with Grantsdale: http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory...h/news/2591485 Hmm, Centrino for the desktop? All they need is a name for the "package" now. Any guesses... anybody? Since picking a brand name is a big deal these days (there are IP issues with practically any name you can think of), and since there is so little time, one suspects that Intel is going to have to do without. If this weren't a hurry-up job, they'd have a brand name ready and we'd have been exposed to it dozens of times by now. Think of the marketing barrage that preceded Centrino. And yet most people still don't know what Centrino is or what it is supposed to cover. How many times do you hear someone refer to a "Centrino CPU"? I guess Centrium is too obvious as a name for the desktop package and possibly, as you say, already taken... but a quick search doesn't turn up anything in the computer industry which clashes. I'm not so sure about "hurry-up" here... the way Intel has been sponsoring startups in the home oriented multimedia sphere and filling in with in-house nuts-n-bolts stuff. A big fanfare at rollout with dog 'n' pony shows all over could have more impact than a ramped info-trickle. Where do they get this stuff: "Because the chip set incorporates features like Dolby audio and advanced 3-D video previously found only in add-on cards..."? They get it from the press release, one gathers. I haven't yet found the culpable press release on Intel's site, though. Wot a loada BULL****! Intel plays catch-up and a buncha anal...ysts drop their drawers in public!!! How embarrassing. You worry me sometimes. Can't you just relax and enjoy the show? :-). I can stand clueless but clueless pretending to be expert advice/opinion prickles with me - bald-faced lies ****es me off. Rgds, George Macdonald "Just because they're paranoid doesn't mean you're not psychotic" - Who, me?? |
#6
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George Macdonald wrote:
And yet most people still don't know what Centrino is or what it is supposed to cover. How many times do you hear someone refer to a "Centrino CPU"? I guess Centrium is too obvious as a name for the desktop package and possibly, as you say, already taken... but a quick search doesn't turn up anything in the computer industry which clashes. Hell, even most of us that know better have to often use the Centrino term instead of Pentium-M, just so that others will understand what we're talking about. Yousuf Khan |
#7
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George Macdonald wrote:
On Thu, 27 May 2004 05:29:14 GMT, Robert Myers wrote: George Macdonald wrote: On Wed, 26 May 2004 00:21:32 GMT, Robert Myers wrote: snip I'm not so sure about "hurry-up" here... the way Intel has been sponsoring startups in the home oriented multimedia sphere and filling in with in-house nuts-n-bolts stuff. A big fanfare at rollout with dog 'n' pony shows all over could have more impact than a ramped info-trickle. They've definitely been clearing ground for this current agenda for a while, but I think it's fair to infer that the exact timing and delivery of much of this stuff is being forced upon them. If Prescott had turned out the way Intel wanted to, we'd be hearing about Megahertz, not chipsets. Where do they get this stuff: "Because the chip set incorporates features like Dolby audio and advanced 3-D video previously found only in add-on cards..."? They get it from the press release, one gathers. I haven't yet found the culpable press release on Intel's site, though. Wot a loada BULL****! Intel plays catch-up and a buncha anal...ysts drop their drawers in public!!! How embarrassing. You worry me sometimes. Can't you just relax and enjoy the show? :-). I can stand clueless but clueless pretending to be expert advice/opinion prickles with me - bald-faced lies ****es me off. Intel is using the relative technological unsophistication of those who write for the press to get its advertising message across as hard news. They didn't invent the game, of course. Every technology company draws from the same pool of PR types, and it would be amazing if the PR style of Intel differed significantly from industry norms in terms of what comes natural. Intel does seem to me to be much more calculating about its message than most, and they seem to make it work for them. I am probably more inclined than the average technologist to pay attention to these sorts of things, but it really does seem to me that you can't understand what Intel is up to without understanding the messages it is trying to convey. That's why I take up bandwidth in hardware groups calling attention on it. :-). As to genuine cluelessness/misinformation, it seems to me like you would need some kind of logarithmic scale. Consumers aren't very well informed about the actual properties of the laundry detergents they buy. The difference, you might fairly object, is that technical-sounding press releases from Proctor and Gamble don't frequently show up in the press as hard news. Don't know what to say about that. I give Intel considerable credit for having successfully cultivated a market by persuading so many people that they needed all that muscle to begin with. I don't think things like that just happen. I have to be careful with this line of thinking, though, because it would eventually lead to my expression very grudging admiration for Microsoft, and we wouldn't want that. RM |
#8
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On Fri, 28 May 2004 15:34:29 GMT, Robert Myers
wrote: George Macdonald wrote: On Thu, 27 May 2004 05:29:14 GMT, Robert Myers wrote: George Macdonald wrote: On Wed, 26 May 2004 00:21:32 GMT, Robert Myers wrote: snip I'm not so sure about "hurry-up" here... the way Intel has been sponsoring startups in the home oriented multimedia sphere and filling in with in-house nuts-n-bolts stuff. A big fanfare at rollout with dog 'n' pony shows all over could have more impact than a ramped info-trickle. They've definitely been clearing ground for this current agenda for a while, but I think it's fair to infer that the exact timing and delivery of much of this stuff is being forced upon them. If Prescott had turned out the way Intel wanted to, we'd be hearing about Megahertz, not chipsets. I think their getting too close to actual consumer products for their own good - quite a dilemma for them as to how far they tread on the toes of consumer name-brand OEMs in their quest to own the market. Where do they get this stuff: "Because the chip set incorporates features like Dolby audio and advanced 3-D video previously found only in add-on cards..."? They get it from the press release, one gathers. I haven't yet found the culpable press release on Intel's site, though. Wot a loada BULL****! Intel plays catch-up and a buncha anal...ysts drop their drawers in public!!! How embarrassing. You worry me sometimes. Can't you just relax and enjoy the show? :-). I can stand clueless but clueless pretending to be expert advice/opinion prickles with me - bald-faced lies ****es me off. Intel is using the relative technological unsophistication of those who write for the press to get its advertising message across as hard news. They didn't invent the game, of course. Every technology company draws from the same pool of PR types, and it would be amazing if the PR style of Intel differed significantly from industry norms in terms of what comes natural. Intel does seem to me to be much more calculating about its message than most, and they seem to make it work for them. I am probably more inclined than the average technologist to pay attention to these sorts of things, but it really does seem to me that you can't understand what Intel is up to without understanding the messages it is trying to convey. That's why I take up bandwidth in hardware groups calling attention on it. :-). Calculating maybe but I think it has more to do with the susceptibility of the microprocessor market to BS... due to the presence of a bunch of (mostly) ignorant "analysts" who are presented as, and perceived by the even more ignorant news agencies like Reuters, as gurus of the industry. The news chain is simply primed for BS... for no good reason. The Inquirer and The Register to the rescue??:-) As to genuine cluelessness/misinformation, it seems to me like you would need some kind of logarithmic scale. Consumers aren't very well informed about the actual properties of the laundry detergents they buy. The difference, you might fairly object, is that technical-sounding press releases from Proctor and Gamble don't frequently show up in the press as hard news. Don't know what to say about that. People have a direct method of "benchmarking" their detergents though - they know that, e.g., a store brand detergent gets used up faster or leaves a horrible scent on their shirts and blouses. Perhaps the auto industry would be a better comparison as far as consumer technology but the $$ per finished product is in a different ball-park. There, the outsource companies take an intentionally low profile - e.g. how many people know that Magna Steyr builds whole vehicles for M.B and BMW, who gladly put their "griffe" on them. In the auto industry there is plenty of expert opinion BS of course but the consumer is generally in a good position to see it as opinion. The "experts" cannot, however, get away with the kind of incompetence we see in many computer industry articles where, either the analyst being quoted is clueless or the author so unqualified that it all turns out as umm, tripe. The prognostications on 64-bit x86 are a prime example of this - take a look at the 64-bit Support section of http://enterprise-windows-it.newsfac...ory/24055.html where it looks like the author is just so inadequate to the task that he shouldn't be writing about the computer industry. Add in the "analyst" bias/misread and what comes out is gobbledygook. I give Intel considerable credit for having successfully cultivated a market by persuading so many people that they needed all that muscle to begin with. I don't think things like that just happen. I have to be careful with this line of thinking, though, because it would eventually lead to my expression very grudging admiration for Microsoft, and we wouldn't want that. You need to start worrying about your favorite topic though, now that M$ has declared its intention to enter the HPC market.chuckle Rgds, George Macdonald "Just because they're paranoid doesn't mean you're not psychotic" - Who, me?? |
#9
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Robert Myers wrote:
What do you do when you're having competitive problems with your main product and there is no guaranteed relief in sight? You change the subject. At least, that's what I infer Intel to be doing with Grantsdale: http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory...h/news/2591485 They've already had experience hyping a chipset, otherwise known as Centrino. They'll have to come up with a slick moniker for Grantsdale too. I wonder if they're going to do like in the Centrino campaign, start emphasizing the whole processor/chipset combo? They certainly can't hype the Pentium 4 Prescott as it now stands -- it's a big embarrassment for them. Perhaps with a re-emphasis on a chipset combo, rather than a processor, they can easily take people's focus off of the actual processor and slip the old processor away (Prescott), and replace it with a new processor (Dothan) without people noticing? Prestidigitation. Yousuf Khan |
#10
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On Thu, 27 May 2004 04:57:21 GMT, "Yousuf Khan"
wrote: They've already had experience hyping a chipset, otherwise known as Centrino. They'll have to come up with a slick moniker for Grantsdale too. I wonder if they're going to do like in the Centrino campaign, start emphasizing the whole processor/chipset combo? There's been a tendency to capitalize on existing successful branding campaigns - look at the life of the Pentium name, which was originally just a replacement for '586. That would argue for the possibility of names such as Centrino-D (for desktop), Centrino II, and such. One thing the marketeers are aware of is the risk of confusing your non-technical customers with too many name brands. You want them to go "Oh, sure. Centrino. That's good, right? And Centrino II must be better!" Neil Maxwell - I don't speak for my employer |
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