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Old May 18th 20, 03:06 AM posted to
Yousuf Khan[_2_]
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Posts: 1,296
Default Do you think the days of the hard drive is finally over?

On 5/16/2020 5:02 PM, Mark Perkins wrote:
On Sat, 16 May 2020 07:50:32 -0400, Yousuf Khan

On 5/16/2020 5:31 AM, wrote:
20 terrorbites would be an "archive" drive with shingles.
The sensible drives go up to 16 TB? Even that is going to take ages for a scandisk.

I haven't done a scandisk in quite a few years, and prior to that it was
another few years since the previous one. It's not something I worry about,
nor do I worry about how long it takes to fill a drive with data. My
primary concerns are how many SATA ports and drive bays I have on hand.
Those are the limiting factors.

Well, nobody does Scandisks more than once in several years. I'm sure
Pedro meant that as an extreme example, but not something that is
unreasonable to expect to do occasionally.

I think even 16 TB is way too large, shingles or not. It would still
take nearly 18 hours.

We all have different needs. My server has 16 SATA ports and 15 drive bays,
so the OS lives on an SSD that lays on the floor of the case. The data
drives are 4TB x5 and 2TB x10, for a raw capacity of 40TB, formatted to
36.3TB. I use DriveBender to pool all of the drives into a single volume.
Windows is happy with that. Since there are no SATA ports or drive bays
available, upgrading for more storage means replacing one or more of the
current drives. External drives aren't a serious long-term option.

But the point is, neither are internal ones these days, it seems.
Assuming even if these are mainly used in enterprise settings, they
would likely be part of a RAID array. Now if the RAID array is new and
all of these drives were put in new as part of the initial setup,
there's nothing to worry about, you fill it up to whatever level of data
you have. Hopefully your array holds at least twice the amount of data
that someone's old setup had, so it can keep growing before it too needs
to be replaced or upgraded. Now as this array ages, it's reasonable to
assume that one of the drives may die, and it would need to be replaced.
By the time this event happens, likely this array is probably at least
80% full or more. Inserting a replacement drive into the array will
require massive amount of time to resync, even if it is a smart resync,
doing only the blocks that actually have data on them.

Now, looking up what Drive Bender is, it seems to be a virtual volume
concatenator. So it's not really a RAID, individual drives die and only
the data on them are lost, unless they are backed up. So even in that
case, if one of these massive drives is part of your DB setup, replacing
that drive will be a major pain in the butt even while restoring from
backups. It really begs the question how long are you willing to wait
for a drive to get repopulated, knowing that while this is happening
it's also going to be maxing out the rest of your system for the amount
of hours that the restore operation is happening?

My point is that I think people will only be willing to wait a few
hours, perhaps 4 or 5 hours at most, before they say it's not worth it,
in a home environment. In an enterprise environment, that tolerance may
get extended out to 8 or 10 hours. So at some point, all of this
capacity is useless, because it's impractical to manage with the current
drive and interface speeds.

If SSD's were cheaper per byte, then even SSD's running on a SATA
interface would still be viable at the same capacities we see HDD's at
right now. So a 16 or 20 TB SSD would be usable devices, but 16 or 20 TB
HDD's aren't.

Yousuf Khan